Posts Tagged ‘President’

Turkey foils Obama assassination plot

April 6, 2009

Turkish officials announced Monday that a Syrian man planned to assassinate Barack Obama while the President visited Ankara.  The man supposedly forged Al-Jazeera press credentials and planned to stab the President during his visit.  He was aided by three accomplices.

The Prez

The Prez

The assassin’s name has not been released yet.  Turkish officials called Al-Jazeera press and asked if they knew the man before the arrest, they did not, and the man was quickly arrested.

RWP Rating: Unusual

Full Story: Jerusalem Post

Who will be the 2012 Republican nominee? (Google Deathmatch vs. CPAC Edition)

April 6, 2009

None of them have officially announced their candidacy for President, but we don’t mind speculating a few years early.  Let’s look at some trends to analyze who has the edge as of April 2009.

Methods

Conservative Political Action Conference: Numeral values given here are a percentage of votes cast for a particular candidate.

Google Web: Total number of results for a particular candidate from a Google Web search.

Google News:  Total number of results for a particular candidate from a Google News search isolated to the last month.

Raw Data

raw-data-20121

Conservative Political Action Conference: Who has the elite?

Held in late February, CPAC is a conference where the Republican elite get together and discuss the future of the party.  It is not a good representative sample of the electorate because only the top Republicans attend the conference.  In any case, it it interesting to see who the power players in the party want to represent them in 2012.  The only potential future candidate that isn’t represented in this poll is Jon Huntsman Jr., at least for the time being.  Eric Cantor could attempt a run in 2012, but I think for now he is content to stay in Congress.

In the first strong indication of where conservative hearts lie for the 2012 presidential race, Mitt Romney won the Conservative Political Action Conference straw poll on Saturday, earning the backing…
In the first strong indication of where conservative hearts lie for the 2012 presidential race, Mitt Romney won the Conservative Political Action Conference straw poll on Saturday, earning the backing…
Percentage of Votes from CPAC

Percentage of Votes from CPAC

Winner: Mitt Romney

Google Deathmatches: Who has the history?

But what candidate has the most history and name recognition with the party?  Let’s take a look.  Because Googlefight.com only contains results from the Renaissance, I’ve decided to conduct these searches on my own.  Each candidate’s name is placed in parentheses in order to prevent irrelevant results.

Total hits from Google search

Total hits from Google search

Total hits with Google search

Percentage of total hits from Google search

Winner: Sarah Palin, easily. Ron Paul, unsurprisingly has a strong web presence, but it’s doubtful that that will turn into votes during election time.

Google News Deathmatch: Who has the buzz?

Yes, Palin may have the most history with the party, but which candidate has stayed in the limelight for the last month?  Who do Americans think of right now when they think of the Republican party?  Each candidate’s name is placed in parentheses.  Total results are taken from a one month period.

Total hits from Google search

Total hits from Google News search

Percentage of total hits from Google News search

Percentage of total hits from Google News search

Winner: Sarah Palin, again. However, Mark Sanford and Bobby Jindal are keeping up just fine in the latest news.  Mitt Romney may want to put himself out there a bit more often.

Conclusions: But what does it all mean?

None of these results should be taken too seriously at this point.  Right now, it is difficult for someone like Mitt Romney or Newt Gingrich to stay in the news because they have no legislative position at this point.  The Eric Cantor addition should be viewed as a dark horse candidate.   Cantor may be perfectly happy leading the Republicans in the House.

In any case, CPAC should not be taken seriously.  They hated John McCain in 2008 and look where that got him: an early, secured nomination.  Google Deathmatch operates on the premise that a solid history of prominence in the party will help a candidate.  This is a double-edged sword.  Experience in the Republican party may mean a close association with the life and times of George W. Bush.   If Rudy Giuliani had the ability to run in 2003 instead of 2008, we may have seen him in the White House.  But the American public quickly cooled to the idea that a President had to have steel balls with the War on Terror.

Google News will be a great indicator of buzz when the campaign season gets into full gear.  Whoever can maximize their results on a weekly basis will be the next nominee.  Getting the mainstream press on your side is the best way to get into the White House.

Who do you think will square off against Obama in 2012?

Shalom.

Newt Gingrich converts to Catholicism in time for 2012 election

March 31, 2009

Former Republican Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich converted to Catholicism this weekend, a solid 3 years before the 2012 presidential election.

Newt Gingrich dodged the Vietnam draft, but will be give a free pass on foreign policy because of the (R) by his name.

Newt Gingrich dodged the Vietnam draft, but will be given a free pass on military policy because of the (R) by his name.

Gingrich’s third (latest) wife Callista Bisek is Catholic, but Gingrich has so far remained silent as to what his motivation in converting was.  Gingrich became a Baptist while he earned his PhD in Modern European History from Tulane University.  Divorce is not allowed in the Catholic Church.  However, annulments can be granted in certain situations.

I think the political motivation here is overt.  Gingrich thinks he can secure the Catholic vote in 2012 by converting.  Mitt Romney is a Mormon and Sarah Palin is batshit crazy, so the stamp of approval from The Holy Old Dude could sway a few voters, especially in the primaries.   His only problem is that Bobby Jindal worked the Catholic conversion a few years before Newt got around to it.

Republican primary debate drinking game: One shot every time you hear the phrase “culture of life.”

RWP Rating: Unusual

Full Story: http://thecaucus.blogs.nytimes.com/2009/03/31/gingrich-gets-a-new-religion/